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Mapping geography yields some surprises

2014-08-19 14:07 China Daily Web Editor: Qin Dexing
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Various methods are used to measure economic disparities among China's regions. The most common gauges are GDP and per capita GDP.

The results, however, could be skewed by disproportionately high industrial and infrastructure spending in some regions, which under current circumstance, could be a burden rather than an advantage.

China Business News used an alternative method, comparing regions' competitiveness through the number of listed companies. The idea was to find a better measure than those based on GDP.

A long moratorium on initial public offerings left many competitive and fast-growing companies waiting on the sidelines. But in a way, it also divided large companies into two groups: companies that have been listed in the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges and those that are waiting for approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission. If the first group represents the past, the latter represents the emerging forces of the future.

The study of 2,525 A-share listed companies and 596 to be listed (as of late July) revealed many things, many of which reinforced long-standing perceptions. And much dovetailed with what could be concluded from GDP analysis: Guangdong is still the largest economic powerhouse.

The Pearl River Delta, the Yangtze River Delta and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei cluster remained the three most important engines of China's economy.

But there were also surprises and nuances that foreign investors should bear in mind if they want to have a better grasp of this vast country's economic geography. For example, the economic center of gravity is tilted much more toward the south than most people think.

For example, the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta accounted for 27.1 percent and 14.9 percent of China's listed companies, respectively.

The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei cluster had only 12.5 percent.

The tilt is more obvious when one examines the number of companies waiting to be listed: the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta were home to 33.7 percent and 19.3 percent, respectively, while the number for the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei cluster was just 12.7 percent.

And except for Beijing, which topped all lists, there was no other northern city that made it into the top 10 list, either by number of listed companies or companies to be listed.

Tianjin, the much trumpeted "northern China economic hub", which led the nation in GDP growth in recent years, failed to make into the top 10. The city, with only 39 companies listed and eight awaiting a listing, was far behind other cities.

By comparison, the concentration of big industrial companies in Tianjin made its GDP in 2013 1.78 times that of Wuxi. Other rising stars in the north had just a dim presence on the CBN list. Shandong, which ranked third in terms of GDP nationwide, was dwarfed by smaller economies such as Zhejiang and Shanghai.

Shandong, 46 percent larger than Zhejiang in terms of 2013 GDP, had only 151 listed companies, while Zhejiang has 252.

Northern regions also generally lost to southern ones in terms of the vigor of private companies: Only 35.9 percent of the 39 listed companies in Tianjin were private, a ratio lower than the national average.

Shandong was even lower, and of the 28 to be listed companies in the province, 21 were in the manufacturing sector, while those in the new economy-represented by information technology, software, culture and entertainment-stood at four.

Beijing tops the economic stakes

Shanghai is known around the world as the economic hub of China. But the CBN list tells the story of which city actually dominates when it comes to listed companies.

It is Beijing, a city that long wanted to hide its economic success.

The city topped the ranking both in listed companies and soon-to-be listed companies, far outperforming Shanghai.

The city was also a star of the "new economy". Of the 229 listed companies, 43 were in information technology, software and the IT service industry. Of the 64 companies to be listed, 12 were in this category. The number of culture and entertainment companies also beat any other region in China.

With its dynamic private equity and venture capital sector, numerous government support funds and rich entrepreneurial culture, Beijing is unusually strong in the small and medium-sized enterprise sector.

Beijing has only 40 companies in the A-share's SME sector (722 companies in total), but their market capitalization accounted for 24.3 percent of the sector.

To be fair, Beijing benefited enormously in terms of being a "headquarters economy", with most central State-owned enterprises based in the capital. Their success should be attributed to the national market rather than Beijing, but analysts said there are other important reasons.

"The intense concentration of enterprises enabled the frequent flow of information, capital and talent, which made the 'financial awareness' of companies in Beijing quite high," said Li Daxiao, chief economist at Yingda Securities.

Zhongguancun High-tech Zone, a technology park with State-sponsored incubators, has attracted enterprises around China, which attributed to Beijing's standing.

Shenzhen leads ipo race

The significance of Shenzhen, a city unknown to many Westerners, may be underestimated, at least from the CBN list.

The city outperformed Shanghai in terms of number of to-be-listed companies (55 compared with 44), a sign of the city's vigorous corporate sector and promising future. Home to household names such as China Vanke Co Ltd, China Merchants Bank, Huawei Technologies Co Ltd, Tencent Holding Ltd, Ping An Insurance (Group) Co of China Ltd, Shenzhen is a hotbed for private entrepreneurship.

If measured by the number of private companies to be listed, Shenzhen even beat Beijing. The latter had 17 SOEs in its 64 companies to be listed, while there are only three SOEs in Shenzhen's 55 companies to be listed.

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