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断崖式下跌

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2015-12-04 13:53China Daily Editor: Yao Lan

断崖式下跌

cliff-like drop

The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences said domestic home prices are likely to suffer "a cliff-like drop" in the second half of next year.

中国社科院表示,2016年第二季度后国内房价有出现"断崖式下跌"的可能.

"断崖式下跌"(a cliff-like drop/ fall off a cliff)从字面意思上看,是大幅度下跌(a sharp decrease)."断崖"表示前后差别很大,如断崖式降级(free-fall demotion).

针对市场传出"社科院称明年二季度后房价会出现断崖式下跌",社科院澄清表示,2016年住房市场回暖基础不稳,价格波动(price volatility)风险较大,分化趋势严重.做出此结论的前提是在整体经济趋势没有重大变化和没有重大举措出台的情况下,房价在经历较快上升后,2016年第二季度后有出现一波断崖式下跌的可能;但商品房(commercial residential building)投资有望缓慢回升,对经济增长带动有望增强.

同时社科院表示,今年商品房销售逼近了2013年的峰值(repeat a climax in transaction volume that appeared in 2013),改善性需求也得到大幅释放,无形中给明年的楼市带来很大压力.

对于上述住房市场现状,社科院在报告中建议,2016-2017年房地产市场调控应锁定三大目标,去库存(further reduce stock);保持房价增幅在合理水平(maintain stability in home prices);鼓励房地产投资(encourage investment in the property market).

 

  

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