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Economy

China's economy could hit its sweet spot in 2018

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2018-01-19 08:47Xinhua Editor: Wang Fan ECNS App Download

As China looks to high quality growth over high speed expansion, its performance in 2017 was surprisingly a combination of both.

The pace of growth in China's economy increased in 2017, which is the first time for this to happen since 2011, to 6.9 percent annually, a slight rebound from a 26-year low of 6.7 percent in 2016.

As China's chief statistician Ning Jizhe has put it, the economy has maintained stable and sound development and exceeded expectations.

Growth is partly credited to cyclical factors and an improved global economy, but observers should not overlook deeper factors shaping the good shape of the economy, which is in the midst of an extraordinary structural transformation.

The old economy -- heavy industries and property sectors are slowing. The new economy -- services and part of the manufacturing sector such as high tech are gaining strength.

Analysts believe the Chinese economy is going through a phase of "creative destruction" as lively new sectors coexist with still-dominant old sectors.

Although the new economy is not yet strong enough to overwhelm the old economy, the transition is structurally positive.

The world's second largest economy still has to tame debt risks and factory pollution, but strong growth gives the government the room it needs to tackle such issues.

Global financial agencies can see the sweet spot in China's economy. The International Monetary Fund revised up its forecast of China's economy four times in 2017. The Asian Development Bank also revised up China's growth prospects as household spending held steady.

Heading into 2018, monetary policy in the United States and geopolitical risks pose uncertainties to the global economy, from which China's economy will not be excluded.

China has held firm that it will target high quality growth over high speed growth for structural reasons. Given the size and importance of the Chinese economy, this is welcome news for China and the world. China is confident that the sweet spot in its economy could last beyond 2018.

Read more:

China's economy accelerates for 1st time in 7 years

China's economy expanded 6.9 percent in 2017, picking up pace for the first time in seven years.

GDP totaled 82.7 trillion yuan (about 13 trillion U.S. dollars) in 2017, up from around 41.3 trillion yuan in 2010, when China first overtook Japan.

But it's not only the speed or quantity of growth that may make China a sustained engine for global economic growth. With policymakers reiterating the importance of "high quality growth," China's economy is entering a new era.

China's national economic data veracity unaffected by regional statistics: official

The credibility of China's national economic data will not be threatened by statistics calculated at regional level, an official said Thursday.

"The data quality has been improved, both at national and regional levels," said Ning Jizhe, head of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), in response to data fabrication reported in Tianjin and some other regions.

  

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